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Energy Review

Heat Loss Calculator

Heat loss is the single number that determines what heating system your home needs. It is how fast your home leaks heat to the outside on a cold day, measured in kilowatts, and any boiler or heat pump has to be able to replace it at least as fast.

Enter your floor area and pick the closest match for your walls and windows. The calculator estimates your heat loss at design conditions and suggests the heat pump output to start looking at.

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Important:This is an indicative estimate from typical benchmarks, not a heat pump specification. An MCS-certified installer must carry out a room-by-room calculation against your actual walls, windows and ventilation before specifying equipment — their figure is the one to buy against, and it will differ from this one.

What is heat loss?

Every home loses heat through its walls, roof, floor, windows and through air leaking in and out. The colder it is outside, the faster that happens. Heat loss is the rate of that leak at a chosen design condition, and it is expressed in kilowatts because it is a rate rather than a quantity.

This matters because heating systems are sized in kilowatts too. If your home loses 6 kW on a cold day, a 5 kW heat pump cannot hold temperature no matter how long it runs.

How this calculator works

The calculator uses a heat loss parameter: a typical number of watts lost per square metre of floor area, for each degree of difference between inside and outside. That parameter changes with construction, so the calculator varies it by wall type and adjusts it for glazing.

The estimate is then:

floor area × heat loss parameter × temperature difference

The temperature difference is your target indoor temperature minus a design outdoor temperature of −3 °C, which is the level UK heating design commonly assumes. At a 21 °C target that gives a 24 °C difference.

Why heat pump sizing matters

Sizing errors go wrong in both directions, but not symmetrically. An undersized heat pump cannot keep the house warm on the coldest days, which is the failure people notice. An oversized one costs more to buy and cycles on and off rather than running steadily, which is less comfortable and less efficient.

Because being short is the worse outcome, this calculator rounds its suggestion up to the next half kilowatt rather than to the nearest.

What this cannot tell you

This is a whole-house benchmark, not a survey. It does not know how much of your wall is window, whether your loft insulation is at current depth, how draughty the house is, or how any individual room behaves. Two homes with identical floor areas and wall types can differ substantially on all four.

Before anyone specifies equipment, an MCS-certified installer must carry out a room-by-room calculation. Treat this figure as a way of knowing roughly what to expect and whether a quote looks sensible, not as a specification.

If you want to know what a heat pump would cost to run rather than what size it needs to be, the solar and heat pump data page carries observed UK deployment figures.

Frequently asked questions

What is a good heat loss figure for a UK home?

A well-insulated modern home of around 100 square metres typically loses about 3 kW at design conditions. The same floor area with uninsulated solid walls can lose more than double that. Heat loss depends on construction and insulation far more than on floor area alone, which is why two homes of identical size can need very different heating systems.

What size heat pump do I need?

As a starting point, a heat pump needs to deliver at least your peak heat loss at the design outdoor temperature. This calculator rounds up to the next half kilowatt for that reason. It is only an indication: an MCS-certified installer must carry out a room-by-room calculation before specifying equipment, and their figure is the one to buy against.

Why does the calculator use -3 °C outside?

UK heating design typically assumes a design outdoor temperature of around -3 °C. It is not the coldest it ever gets, but the level a system should be sized to hold comfortably. Design temperatures vary across the UK, so a Scottish installer may use a lower figure than one in the south west.

Is this the same as an MCS heat loss calculation?

No. An MCS calculation works room by room against measured U-values, actual window areas and ventilation rates. This calculator uses a whole-house benchmark based on floor area, wall construction and glazing, so it gives an indicative figure for planning rather than a specification to buy against.

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Rob Gibbs

Written by

Rob Gibbs

Hi, I'm Rob, and I run Energy-Review.co.uk. I initially started this project in 2018 when I was looking to switch energy suppliers and found there wasn't a website that provided simple, data-backed reviews on all the suppliers available. Since then, I have spent a lot of time (too much, some may say!) looking at all publicly available data about each supplier and writing reviews using this information. These reviews are updated as regularly as possible, and any data is backed up by a source where necessary. I have also started writing guides on various energy-related topics, which hopefully you will find useful. If you find any issues, please use our contact form to let us know.

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